Market Correction Playbook: 10 Things Value Investors Do When Prices Fall
When the market falls 20%, most investors panic. Value investors have a checklist. Here's ours.
Markets fall 20% or more on average once every 3.5 years. They fall 10% roughly once every 18 months. Most investors either panic-sell near the bottom or freeze and do nothing. Value investors have a checklist. When others are selling, the playbook is clear.
The Psychology First
A market correction feels catastrophic in real time and manageable in retrospect. The cognitive bias driving bad decisions at the bottom is availability heuristic — the most recent, vivid experience (falling prices, negative headlines) dominates decision-making over the statistical reality that corrections are temporary. The antidote is pre-commitment: decide in advance exactly what you will do when prices fall 10%, 20%, and 30%.
At -15%: Add to existing positions trading below NCAV. Deploy 30% of dry powder. Check insider activity for cluster signals.
At -20%: Increase allocation to 60% of dry powder. The median 12-month return from -20% drawdowns is +23%.
At -30%: Maximum deployment. Historical record shows 100% of -30% corrections eventually recover fully.
Throughout: Do not check portfolio value daily. Maintain a 2-year time horizon for every position.
What the Data Shows
The S&P 500 has experienced 12 corrections of 20%+ since 1950. In every single case, the market recovered fully within 5 years. The median time to full recovery is 14 months. An investor who deployed capital at each bottom versus one who held cash through every correction shows a 4.2× wealth gap after 30 years.
Using DipBuster During Corrections
During market drawdowns, the leaderboard rotates rapidly — new net-net candidates appear as prices fall below NCAV. The insider signal feed is also especially valuable: director buying during a correction is a much stronger signal than during normal markets, because insiders are buying into maximum fear, not optimism. Set up price alerts on your highest-conviction watchlist names and let the system tell you when entry conditions are met.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. DipBuster is an information platform. Always do your own research before investing.